Regional Mortality Multiplier

Calculate a mortality risk multiplier for a region relative to the national or EU average. Useful for adjusting baseline micromort estimates by location.

Usage

regional_mortality_multiplier(region_code, reference = "eu", year = 2019)

Arguments

region_code

Character. NUTS2 region code (e.g., "FR10").

reference

Character. Compare against "national" average or "eu" average. Default is "eu".

year

Integer. Reference year. Default is 2019 (pre-COVID).

Value

A tibble with the region's mortality multiplier and interpretation.

Details

The mortality multiplier is derived from life expectancy differences using the approximation that each year of life expectancy difference corresponds to approximately 2.5% difference in annual mortality risk.

A multiplier of 1.0 means average risk; 0.9 means 10% lower risk; 1.1 means 10% higher risk.

See also

regional_life_expectancy(), demographic_factors()

Other regional: laggard_regions(), regional_life_expectancy(), vanguard_regions()

Examples

# Catalonia vs EU average
regional_mortality_multiplier("ES51")
#> # A tibble: 1 × 8
#>   region_code region_name life_expectancy reference  reference_le le_difference
#>   <chr>       <chr>                 <dbl> <chr>             <dbl>         <dbl>
#> 1 ES51        Cataluña               84.3 EU average         82.4          1.86
#> # ℹ 2 more variables: mortality_multiplier <dbl>, interpretation <chr>

# Compare to national average
regional_mortality_multiplier("ES51", reference = "national")
#> # A tibble: 1 × 8
#>   region_code region_name life_expectancy reference  reference_le le_difference
#>   <chr>       <chr>                 <dbl> <chr>             <dbl>         <dbl>
#> 1 ES51        Cataluña               84.3 ES average         83.7          0.59
#> # ℹ 2 more variables: mortality_multiplier <dbl>, interpretation <chr>